Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000096 0.000100 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118 0.000125
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000092 0.000099 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128 0.000141
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000089 0.000098 0.000109 0.000122 0.000138 0.000158
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000084 0.000095 0.000107 0.000123 0.000142 0.000168
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000153 0.000187
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092 0.000108 0.000129 0.000157 0.000197
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000077 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000160 0.000207
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000076 0.000089 0.000107 0.000132 0.000167 0.000221
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000109 0.000136 0.000176 0.000241
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000107 0.000135 0.000177 0.000249
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000103 0.000132 0.000175 0.000249
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101 0.000130 0.000174 0.000253
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000125 0.000170 0.000251
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000098 0.000130 0.000179 0.000276
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000099 0.000134 0.000190 0.000304
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000076 0.000098 0.000133 0.000193 0.000317
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000076 0.000100 0.000138 0.000205 0.000354
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000075 0.000099 0.000138 0.000208 0.000371
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000098 0.000138 0.000211 0.000386
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000098 0.000140 0.000218 0.000417
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000099 0.000144 0.000231 0.000464
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072 0.000097 0.000142 0.000230 0.000475
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000094 0.000139 0.000225 0.000470